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Land use change and trade effects of the EU regulation for deforestation-free products in Brazil and Paraguay (EUDR Effects)
Project
Project code: TI-WF-23-WF-2025-2831
Contract period: 01.01.2025
- 31.12.2027
Purpose of research: Applied research
Keywords: forest management and adaptation, certification, long-term policy concepts, ecosystem services, policy options, tropical forest regions, international trade, sustainability, commodity control systems, timber markets, trade policy
EUDR Effects aims to assess effects of the EUDR on soy and cattle production in and between Brazil and Paraguay in order to evaluate whether this regulation has the potential to reduce deforestation, greenhouse gas emissions and biodiversity loss In 2023, the EU adopted the Regulation on Deforestation-Free Products (EUDR) to reduce its influence on global deforestation and forest degradation. The regulation prohibits the entry of wood and a number of agricultural commodities including soy and cattle as well as products made thereof into the EU market, unless they are deforestation-free. The EUDR-Effects project of the Thünen Institute of Forestry aims to assess effects of the EUDR on soy and cattle production in and between Brazil and Paraguay. Specifically, it will examine the perception and implementation of the deforestation-free requirement by actors along the supply chains in these countries. Core research elements are (i) analysis of existing policy instrument and their relation to the EUDR through literature reviews and participatory policy mapping in case study areas, as well as (ii) a large-scale interview campaign in the two countries among representatively selected actors along the soy and beef value chains. Implementation of the EUDR will depend on links with existing national policy instruments. Support and cooperation measures need to take into account at least those policy instruments that have a direct and causal link to the EUDR. This will increase the effectiveness on one hand but as well ownership on the Brazilian and Paraguayan side. The expected main results include science-based answers to whether the regulation has the potential to reduce the EU’s influence on deforestation in Brazil and Paraguay and whether it affects land use and trade related to soy and beef. The project is designed to span for three years from 2025 to 2027.
Section overview
Subjects
- Agroecology
- Agricultural Policy
