Integrated Forest Development and Roundwood Supply in a Global Forest Products Model (iNFORSu)

Project

Production processes

This project contributes to the research aim 'Production processes'. Which funding institutions are active for this aim? What are the sub-aims? Take a look:
Production processes

Project code: TI-KB-08-PID2232
Contract period: 01.09.2020 - 31.08.2023
Purpose of research: Inventory & Assessment

Which economic theories describe the relationship between socioeconomic variables and forest development? How can global roundwood production be modeled with the help of theories of forest development? We want to improve the global forest products model GFPM with an extension of the module on forest development.
The economic partial equilibrium model "Global Forest Products Model" (GFPM) simulates production, trade and calculated consumption for roundwood, semi-finished and finished products for 180 countries. This includes sawn wood, wood-based materials, pulpwood, paper, fibreboard and recovered paper. Market equilibrium calculations are based on developments in supply and demand, as well as manufacturing and transportation costs. The supply of roundwood is determined by the growth dynamics of forest stock, the change in forest area and the harvest volume. For the estimation of the supply-side roundwood production, a forest-specific module is integrated in the GFPM, which uses forestry and socioeconomic variables for the simulation. In addition to forest-specific parameters, the development of the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita is an important basis for this. The GFPM currently uses the theoretical approach of the Environmental Kuznets Curve to link forest development to economic factors. The objective of our research project is to improve the representation of the roundwood supply in the GFPM by a more precise depiction of the total forest development under consideration of socioeconomic variables.

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