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The Current Impact of COVID-19 and Russian War on Ukraine on Global Agricultural Commodities Trade and Food Security in Sub-Saharan Africa (ICRAFS)
Project
Project code: 2822DOKO13
Contract period: 01.10.2023
- 30.09.2026
Purpose of research: Inventory & Assessment
Keywords: global food security, knowledge transfer, networking, economy, market, food security, modelling, climate change adaptation, food systems
The current extreme events such as climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing war in Ukraine revealed the vulnerability of various food systems and global agricultural commodities trade markets. This highlights the need for coordinated action across sectors to prevent food systems disruptions and thus improve healthy diet. As a result, the demand for sustainable and resilient food systems at the global, regional and national levels become extremely important. The implementation of One Health approach is crucial to achieving sustainable agricultural development and related Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In this context, the main objective of this study is to evaluate the impacts of these extreme events and crisis on food systems and food security in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Specifically, the study proposes to: (i) evaluate the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural commodities trade balances in SSA, (ii) assess the impact of Russian wheat import disruptions due to the war in Ukraine on food security in SSA and (iii) evaluate the impact of adopting climate-smart farming practices on farmers’ returns, livelihoods and well-being in SSA. The first and second objectives will be achieved using Aglink-Cosimo model (global recursive-dynamic partial equilibrium model) or a structural non-linear dynamic model. The third objective will be achieved using a dynamic treatment effect approach. In terms of policy implications, the research findings will be useful for agricultural policymakers and other stakeholders in improving food security through sustainable food systems in SSA and in ensuring the integration of One Health in food systems for sustainable agricultural development and related sustainable development goals.
Section overview
Subjects
- Market Analysis/Marketing Strategy
- Communication Sciences
- Resource management
Funding programme
Excutive institution
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO)
